Evaluating a Rental Property

Evaluating a Rental Property

Member since 2020 · 6 posts · 0 votes
Can I get other eyes on the numbers for this deal? It looks like its very good, however I am new and probably missing something.

Description/location:
2 quadplexes in a college town, <3 miles to a centralized campus (easily bikeable), on a bus route, walking distance to grocery stores and restuarants. Having graduated from this school, its in a very good location where vacancy would be extremely low. The market has students sign year long leases even knowing most will move home for the summer and the unit will be empty (so it/when rehabbing is desired, the possibility exists to update it and use it as a perk to keep the same tenant). The units do not appear to need any renovations done, however I have few pictures/information on when it was all last done.

Numbers:
600k listing
All are 2bed 1 bath units, and in the area, renting a room is very typical
Room rents are between $550 (a room in a SF, condo, or townhome) to ~$900 (1bed 1 bath condo/apartment where you pay to live alone).
Rents for 2/1's that are not buy the room could be expected to be in the $1k range, not higher than $1,200.
No HOA
Taxes look to be around $6000 annually.

As I run these numbers, even in a near worst case (100% financing, 5% vacancy, $625 rent for the whole unit) it still cashflows. In a more realistic but still conservative estimate (100% financing, 5% vacancy, $400/room [$800/unit]) it is cashflowing a little over 1k/month.

Is there a large number I am missing somewhere? I am including taxes, closing costs, insurance, property management, some monthly expenses (its quadplexes, so trash mainly). It looks like a stellar deal to my (inexperienced) eyes. What am I missing that has had this sitting on zillow for almost 2 years?
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  • Nathan GesnerBusiness Member
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    Real Estate Broker · Cody, WY · Member since 2010 · 28k+ posts · 41k+ votes
    6y

    Cash flow is all income minus all expenses. But expenses aren't just your mortage, insurance, taxes, and utilities. What about vacancy? Maintenance? Setting aside for capital expenditures? Property Management?

    Most people will set aside approximately 50% of the gross income for reserve to cover maintenance, taxes, insurance, vacancy, etc. Then pay the mortgage (principle and interest) from the other 50%. What you have left over is considered your cash flow.

    I haven't crunched your numbers above but thought I would point out this basic rule of thumb.

    The DIY Landlord Book4.7243 Reviews
  • Member since 2020 · 6 posts · 0 votes
    6y
    I'm aware of those numbers, and I factored those in. Below is the full breakdown for an absolute worst case scenario and another where nothing horrible happens but it still underperforms.

    Costs:
    720k loan @ 3.75%
    600k purchase, and then something not found in the inspection costs 120k to fix (very unreasonable)
    6k closing
    6k annual property taxes
    $250/month insurance
    7% repairs (again, collective worst case)
    8% vacancy (very far above average)
    7% CapEx
    10% property management

    $6212/month expenses


    Income:
    8 units, 2bed 1 bath
    $400/room (average rent is over $500/room in the area)

    $6400/month Income

    Cashflow: $187/month. This is still positive, but absolutely terrible events.

    Slight underperforming scenario:
    600k Loan @ 3.75%

    6k closing
    6k annual property taxes
    $250/month insurance
    7% repairs (again, collective worst case)
    8% vacancy (very far above average)
    7% CapEx
    10% property management

    $5656/month expenses

    Income:

    $500/month/room (still below market value)

    $8000/month Income

    Cashflow: $1831/month, or $228/unit.

    When given a chance to meet average rents, but keeping the high vacancy, CapEx and repairs, the cashflow goes up to well over $2k/month.

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