Great opportunity before all the uncertainty - need help!!

Great opportunity before all the uncertainty - need help!!

Rental Property Investor · College Station, TX · Member since 2018 · 3 posts · 0 votes

Hey BP experts,

Looking for some guidance as I am a loyal listener and have put my learned knowledge into good use.

I currently house hack in a fourplex and own a single family home in a college town. I have house hacked for a year and a half now in the fourplex and it is currently operating at a 14% cap with owner occupancy.

The single family cash flows $250 per month and my tenant is a professor at the university with great job security. The short term rental market here is amazing (in times other than the coronavirus).

My fiancé and I both have well paying jobs with hers being in healthcare at the university which is totally secure from layoffs.

Before the corona drama started, I was about to make a move on a single family home in our most popular neighborhood in town right across the street from campus. Great for long term rentals, Airbnb, and owner occupancy.

My plan is for my fiancé and I to move into this home once it’s renovated and Airbnb the house for game weekends and large events in town (house hack). Also, we will eventually add a 1200sf garage apartment on the property not attached to the house or current garage for extra cash flow plus the additional three car garage for the structure. We have negotiated a pretty great deal in my opinion but I need some unbiased feedback.

I am going to list the numbers to make it easier to analyze.

3000 sqf single family 4/2 (less than a mile from campus)

Negotiated price: $104/sqf

Avg price per sf in the neighborhood: $190-220/sf

Total renovation budget: $155,000

Expected appraised value after Reno:

$594,000 @ 198/sf

There is a new build home around the corner that is 4000sf and just sold for over $1m.

I have considered flipping the deal after a one year hold if times become difficult to at least break even.

I have a hard money loan set up at 7% to both acquire the property and rehab with interest only. I also spoke to my lender and they are willing to lend up to 80% of the final appraised value which should leave me with little to no money in the deal.

We have cash reserves saved that could float all three properties for at least one year without taking current cash flow and our day jobs into consideration.

I thought about pushing our closing date all the way to August to see where the market is heading. Not sure if the sellers are willing but thought it was worth asking if y’all think it’s a good idea.

I want to move quickly on the negotiated offer but with the uncertainty of the market - what advice would you give in this timing of market volatility and the unknown.

Sorry for the novel and thank you in advance for any and all comments!

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  • Pelham, NH · Member since 2010 · 91 posts · 51 votes
    6y

    Sounds like you already negotiated a pretty decent price right out of the gate. My first question would be, what is the sellers true motivation and will delaying closing that much have a negative impact on their motivation. If they are living there currently, maybe you go for the close and work out a lease for them to remain in the property paying X until August. That way you are not sitting on a lame duck in times of uncertainty and you know the seller/tenant will have some funds available assuming they are walking away from the closing table with a few bucks on the HUD statement.

    If the numbers make sense, and could still make sense if the market gets a bit of a shock then I would proceed, with conservative caution. I would kill the STR numbers right now though and make sure short term its still works for you. STR is where I think the most immediate hit is coming to REI.

  • Rental Property Investor · College Station, TX · Member since 2018 · 3 posts · 0 votes
    6y

    @Dan Milinazzo

    Thank you for the feedback. The house is an estate sale with no current tenants. The sellers are the four kids of the estate who are not particularly in a rush to sell.

    Would this change your recommendations?

  • Pelham, NH · Member since 2010 · 91 posts · 51 votes
    6y

    If the deal is a "steal" I would just close on it and lock it up, but your hands may be somewhat tied for the immediate future. Leaving too much time on the table has a tendancy to sour a deal in my opinion, though it is ideal for you as an investor in uncertain times. If extending it is the right play for you (risk wise) then I would find a way to sweeten the deal for the sellers, otherwise where is their incentive to play nice and let god knows what happen to the property in the next several months knowing its vacant. It sounds like your location is ideal, and thats one thing you can never change so my gut would be to close. With the uncertainy though it may be worth a conversation with them to see about them carrying back some of the note just to ease your financial burden some (though 7% is insane for HML so great job there!!).

    I tend to think as I write, so I apologize for the scattered thoughts. I would entertain trying to see if they would carry back like 20% at 5% (interest only would be great), save you from a little exposure to the HML terms. That way it makes the deal a little more palletable for you in the near term, and pay them off when you refi it.

  • Avery CarlBusiness Member
    Real Estate Agent · USA · Member since 2016 · 909 posts · 1k+ votes
    6y

    @Cody Strech you have the reserves. I’d go ahead and buy it. If you try to stretch the close date to August, you may lose the deal. In my experience, the attorney or trustee handling the estate usually just want to get the property of their plate and move on as quickly as possible.

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