Developer · Missoula MT · Member since 2016 · 232 posts · 84 votes
Super interesting graph on the monthly supply of new houses over the last 60 years. I can't see an example of this sort of a jump in housing supply that wasn't followed by a recession. We've already had two quarters of negative GPD growth, which is what I was always was told was the definition of a recession. The recession is already here, the question is how severe it will be, and how it will affect the housing market.
Talking like this probably seems like I'm saying "the sky is falling", but I'm still closing on a five-plex with a partner in September. If a deal make financial sense and is being bought under market value, then I'm always going to go for it. But to ignore what's going on in the wider market seems foolish. I'd love to hear what you think will happen next, comment below!
I agree on the recession aspect, and also have to agree that it's always a good time to invest, there are always opportunities, and the 'rough markets', recessions, times of downturn will provide those opportunities for those willing and able to put in the work.