Leverage decreases CoC

Leverage decreases CoC

Investor · Atlanta, GA · Member since 2014 · 42 posts · 7 votes

So I've been analyzed a bunch of deals recently. And I found that leverage does not necessarily increase CoC or ROI. The short conclusion is, there is a point where fixed expenses(such as Cap Ex) do not decrease, yet debt will increase with more leverage, and this causes the CoC to go down with more leverage.

So here is a real example. A SFH sells for 67k with $800 rent. The annual cost is: $1000 tax, $1392 manage, Maintenance $600, Cap Ex $360, insurance $700. Assuming $1500 closing cost.

During calculation I assume: 1) 2 vacant month per year, 2) 9% management fee, 3) 1 month lease up fee, 4) repairs only occur in occupied month 5) Cap Ex reserves occur every month 6) every turnover costs $400 repair and cleaning

And here is picture of CoC v.s. down payment. Assuming 6% interest, 30 yr amort, 1 point,

You see, as you pay more and more, the CoC increases.

Let's look at a boundary scenario, where Cap Ex is decreased to $132 per year. 

Isn't it interesting???? No matter how much you pay, you pretty much get the same CoC!!!

Now make it more interesting, decrease Cap Ex to 0.

This is the familiar plots where leverage increase your CoC.

And let's look at what if interest rate is 5%, Cap Ex is $360 as the first case.

See that CoC still benefit from leveraging..

So my conclusion is, always calculate all scenario. Never assume all cash is bad or leverage increases CoC.

Please let me know if I miss anything. The numbers are all fake, but just to tell the story.

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Real Estate Professional · West Palm Beach, FL · Member since 2012 · 23k+ posts · 13k+ votes
10y

That phenomenon simply tells you the interest rate paid on the loan is greater than the yield of the property.

See this reply in the discussion

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  • Investor · Anaheim, CA · Member since 2014 · 242 posts · 81 votes
    10y

    Don't get into analysis paralysis, especially on fictional numbers. 6% interest is pretty high rate. Analyze real scenarios and talk to your mortgage broker about reasonable loan terms. 

    To Your Success.

  • Investor · Stratford, CT · Member since 2015 · 258 posts · 230 votes
    10y

    I'm with Omar.  If you use more accurate interest rates, like 3.75 - 4.0%, you should get a different result.

  • Business Manager · Annandale, VA · Member since 2012 · 23 posts · 7 votes
    10y

    This is an overly complicated way of looking at debt but I think it's great that you're running numbers. I think you missed the taxes and the fact that a portion of the debt payment is going into the house. 

    The general rule is that if ROI is greater than the interest rate you pay then leverage gives you higher ROE.

  • Real Estate Professional · West Palm Beach, FL · Member since 2012 · 23k+ posts · 13k+ votes
    10y

    That phenomenon simply tells you the interest rate paid on the loan is greater than the yield of the property.

  • Investor · Atlanta, GA · Member since 2014 · 42 posts · 7 votes
    10y

    @Omar Ruiz @Ed Matson Thanks for both of your comments! I am taking actions (already have two properties, thinking about purchasing another one). I just happened to find this interesting result.

    And for the interest rate, 6% is pretty standard for foreign nationals. We don't have anything in the 3.75%-4% range unless you are talking 3M+ project. So I guess I should change the subject to warn foreigners..LOL

  • Investor · Atlanta, GA · Member since 2014 · 42 posts · 7 votes
    10y

    @Wayne Brooks By "yield", do you mean CoC? Or how do you calculate it?

  • Real Estate Professional · West Palm Beach, FL · Member since 2012 · 23k+ posts · 13k+ votes
    10y

    No, I meant the cap rate.  If an investment/property yields 8% and you  borrow/leverage part of it with 5% money, you increase your coc since you're making the spread on the borrowed money.  If an investment yields 5%, and you borrow at 6%, then the opposite occurs.

  • Member since 2016 · 13k+ posts · 12k+ votes
    10y

    You may be missing the fact that every dollar of equity in the property, including appreciation and mortgage pay down, must also earn a return of 6% off the top of the rental income. A all cash purchase does not provide a benefit over leverage assuming a investor actually understands the value of cash. Regardless of amount owed or borrowed all income investment property returns should be calculated base on 100% leverage to the full market value of a property adjusted to reflect appreciation.

    Cash must earn it's keep.

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