Help me analyze this deal!

Help me analyze this deal!

Investor · Yuma, AZ · Member since 2017 · 24 posts · 9 votes

There is an 11 unit apartment complex for sale in my area that I believe has some value-add opportunities. However, this would be my first foray into a commercial multi-unit. I do have some experience with rentals as I have two townhouses and a duplex. I have $155k in liquid cash, access to a $55k unused HELOC, and my rentals have a combined $298k in equity of which I could pull approximately $152k if I refinance, which I'm considering doing.

As far as the apartments, the sellers are quite firm on $800,000 however, it only appraised for $700k (based on rental income).  A commercial lender is willing to finance the $700k with only 10% down, I would have to fill in the $100k gap out of pocket.  Further, there will be about $50k in major cap ex needed over the next 1 to 5 years.  The apartments are in a good area and fully rented with some long term tenants in place.  Current rents are coming in at $7150 per month.  These are organically below market rates by at least $125 per unit, being extremely conservative in that estimate.  However, with all that's going on these days, it appears comparable units in the area shot up between $200-$250 or more in some cases.  I hesitate to use those numbers because I'm not sure how sustainable they really are.  Gross expenses come in at $38k per year and includes approximately $8k in utilities which I plan to pass on to the tenants.  I also plan on reducing landscaping and water expenses by converting large, unused grassy areas to desert landscaping.  So to break it down a bit:

  • Purchase Price:  $800,000
  • Finance:     $630,000 ($700k - 10% down)
  • Out of pocket:   $176,000 ($70k down + $100k gap fill + $6k financing expenses)
  • Cap Ex:               $50,000 (over 1-5 years)
  • Income:              $85,800
  • Op Expense:        $38,000
  • 5% Vacancy:          $4,290
  • NOI: $42,290
  • Debt Service:      $44,600
  • Profit:                  -$2310
  • Monthly:                 -$193
  • Per door:                  -$18
  • CoC: -1.3%

My finances: 

  • Liquid Cash:       $155,000
  • Available HELOC: $55,000
  • Available Equity: $152,000 

Post-purchase value-add:

  • Rent increase:       $16,500 (at $125 per month per unit)
  • Pass on utilities:      $8,000
  • Landscaping savings: $1400
  • Total:                     $25,900

New numbers:

  • Income:                $102,300
  • Op Expense:            $28,600
  • 5% Vacancy:               $5115
  • NOI: $68,585
  • Debt Service:           $44,600
  • Profit:                     $23,985
  • Monthly:                    $1998
  • Per Door:                     $181
  • CoC: 13.6%

As you probably noted, I don't have the full cash amount ($176k) required to cover the down payment and the sale price gap so I will have to borrow $21k from the unused HELOC. This will leave me about $34k available for emergencies for all properties until I can refi my current properties. Once I do refi, I plan to repay the HELOC. That would leave me with about $131k cash from the refi for the cap ex and emergencies. Also, refinancing will mean my current properties will barely cash flow. Keep in mind too that the rental increase I used is very conservative by today's market. The number I proposed is what the rents should be at regardless of the craziness however, I'm sure I can increase it by more and I will where I can as leases expire.

And if this doesn't seem like a good deal, or if it doesn't go through, how should I use my available cash?  I can pay off two properties with that amount.  Or should I hold on to it for better deals?  Should I still refi and pull equity?  Any advise will be greatly appreciated!

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  • Investor · Yuma, AZ · Member since 2017 · 24 posts · 9 votes
    5y

    Also, I forgot to mention that I can add an additional unit by converting a 4/1 unit along some unused storage area into a 3/1 and 2/1.  This would bring in an additional $750 per month in rent in the near future.

  • Investor · Eastern Pennsylvania · Member since 2021 · 18 posts · 9 votes
    5y

    With the existing tenants, how many of them locked into longer leases that would cause a delay to the rent increases you are projecting, or the ability to pass on the utility cost to them (depends on what is written into the lease)?

  • Investor · Yuma, AZ · Member since 2017 · 24 posts · 9 votes
    5y

    Most of the existing tenants have expired leases and are now month-to-month.  There is one lease expiring in October and another in June of next year.  Both have water/trash included in the lease but not gas or electricity.  The remaining 9 units will take over all utilities and have rent increased in 30 days after notice, which I plan to provide immediately upon take over.  

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