Looks like Detroit is a pretty popular answer here...at the risk of being redundant...I'll jump on the bandwagon..In Detroit's defense, it is consistently ranked the #1 cash flow market in the country, so it's kinda inevitable.I'm pretty biased towards Metro Detroit for obvious reasons lol.

If you try to just ask them if they plan to leave in January, you might put them on the defensive and scare them out.

I've never had an evicted tenant have much of a defense aside from, "I was going to pay him" which won't fly in the court of law. 

Murphy" Exemption -- A 50 State Guide | Fair Housing Defense (foxrothschild.com)

(A suggestion: if you don't already, I strongly recommend using a late fee that compounds daily.

Because they will get defensive if they feel you are pressuring them.

Places with the most recession-proof jobs such as in education, government, defense, healthcare, etc. will be more resilient in the next downturn.

My business is traffic and misdemeanor defense.

Compound that with a squirrelly seller and tenant, and you’re not just seeing red flags, you’re being beaten about the head and shoulders with them. 

But, this doesn’t reflect the fact that the initial investment decreased from $100 to $50 over two years.The flaw with ARR is that it doesn’t take into account compounding or the actual sequence of returns.