One of my concerns with Dayton is the slow population decline since 2010.

Short term is managing cleaners, dealing with guests complaining about cleaners, random **** breaking, reporting damages do Airbnb, seeing a big *** party starting at your house at midnight (your property manager isn’t on call 24/7 and are charging for every hour spent), dealing with pissed off neighbors etc.You need to weigh all those costs (management + cleaners stack) minus potential high weekday vacancy minus Airbnb’s rising fees and declining service plus your time and headache spent, VS an easy / much more guaranteed paycheck.There’s a lot of guru BS in the STR game.

This would lead to a lower number of licensees, and as the pool of available labor declines, average commission rates will actually rise. 

Investigate the reasons behind vacancies before proceeding.Unreliable Cash Flow: Inconsistent or declining cash flow projections may suggest unrealistic expectations or hidden expenses.

We are in a real estate recession and while I do think we have seen most, if not all, of the pricing declines, markets do not rebound quickly.

Don't know anything about them but per my calculations they are taking 27.2% of the capital appreciation on the New Braunfels deal at the end per their projections which seem optimistic in this oversupplied environment, (Austin MSA with largest new multi-family projects coming out this year in the country ,8% of total existing stock and already seeing rent rate declines of near 10%in the city so far) and they are taking a big chunk of the monthly cash on cash as the preferred payouts for their 3 different classes are well below the projected cash on cash total.

It sounds like you have $5-7k/mo worth of cash flow margin to work with even if things decline. 

That's a giant red flag for that grocer potentially declining to renew their lease, vegan gluten free customers don't want to walk through a cloud of cigarette smoke to get to their ethically sourced non-GMO organic avocado, and obviously the "no smoking within 50 feet" sign is going to be ignored by the customers of that neighboring business, who are all a bunch of smokers.

Sales declined 3.7% from the previous year.

I have personally been involved in house hacking and furnished rentals for over five years, and it's been fascinating to see the quality of mid-term tenants we've had over the years.However, it's worth noting that in our area, the demand for short-term rentals on platforms like Airbnb and VRBO has declined in the past 24 months.