Of course my accounts are totally personal anecdote but I own over 3500 units on the mainland and grew up here in Hawaii so I tend to have a decent amount of awareness.So going back to the argument that Hawaii will never go down in value... well it could appreciate but I consider that gambling.

I like Vegas, people have shown how committed they are to gambling.

Sponsors need to get paid for their time and LPs should want for them to feel financially stable so that they're not doing moonlighting gigs to make ends meet while they're gambling with their money. 

My 2 cents - Be authentically you at every possible turn in life.

Appreciation 100% based on NOI.For a 5 year time frame I would not gamble on or rely on SFH appreciation.

The agent may, in fact, be telling the truth and working in the buyer's best interest if the buyer doesn't want to gamble on a short sale.  

They got their loan and bought the house and the seller didn't have to lift a finger.It was a gamble for them but it paid off.

I worked in KC with Shaun Gamble from Veteran Home Inspection.

I don't gamble on future appreciation.

If you buy in those areas you are really gambling on appreciation on the back end more than cash flow growth today.