The investment thesis into multifamily is as strong as it ever was, homeownership is increasingly unaffordable, construction delays due to the pandemic will further add to supply constraints - increasing absorption rates, occupancy, and rent growth. 

If there's only 50sq foot of absorption area, that sounds like a one bedroom house.

I figure you are looking at population growth, job growth, employers in the area,, house absorption, new construction and a myriad of other factors but I am curious as to where you find these statistics at. 

You can have your local agent run some rental analysis on the properties in the town and what the days on market and absorption is for single families properties such as yourself.

Are rents going to fall 20% in the next 12 months in a market with positive population and wage growth and net absorption?  

My background is in data, therefore, I am at high-risk of analysis-paralysis :)2) In reading the 2020 NA Multifamily report by Marcus & Millichap, I have found other useful data points such as the number of Completions/Absorptions, Cap Rates, and Sales trends are detailed out for major markets.

Since this is my first time , i documented my assumptions here at https://morgulvale.blogspot.co... for a new multi family i got from a reia group. i would love to hear from pros out here , whether any improvements(i am assuming a lot) can be done to the analysis .Also wondering where can i get the following information 1. what cap rates to expect2. absorption rates3. supply / demand rates i know there would be no value add we can do if we get a new one , so is it even worth in looking to purchase a new mfh. 

Amount of new build and absorption rate7.

Hi All,Im working on market research at the moment and am struggling to find a consistent and good source for absorption rates and price per unit for many of the secondary markets.

Personally, I would put more emphasis on net migration, employer diversity, job growth, and absorption rate than simply the amount of population in a sub-market.