Of course there are exceptions and it is impossible to predict what will be the next hot market to take a 7% cap rate down to 5%

However, my crystal ball is perpetually cloudy, so I try not to predict.

Cannot predict the future but I do see it slowing down (plateau) but not losing value just a slow progression.  

Both are short-term positions as I am a trader of those instruments.

Though I agree with never trying to time a bubble or try to predict it and keeping your money on the sidelines is not the best move.

@Jerry Quintiliano The Federal Reserve is meeting next week, and most analysts predict a rate hike.

On the other hand, the networks that you build in those communities can become lifelong connections that can payoff in ways nobody here can predict.

I do realize using historical returns to predict future returns has some risk but you are not proposing placing a large amount into an investment all at once. 

You can absolutely use that to lower the price of the property, especially given the more intense hurricanes and rain patterns that are predicted.  

so predicting a crash on the peninsula has been great sport now for the last 4 decades.. the biggest crash happened in SF in 89 to 92 prices did crash some then.. but then made new highs by mid to late 90s.. and now with TEch fully entrenched you have a world class city with no peer.. prices are taking a breather ..