If I buy a property in need of work or improvements my after repair/improvement revenues are fairly predictable because they are based on what that market is generating today for a similar property.

I don't know what happens in this case, but do you guys predict a correction to the housing market in NYC?

I feel it's a good question because understanding the causal factors may give us a window into more of a predictive world. 

But according to Forbes and other local predictions that by 2050 that there is going to be a million people here in the Treasure Valley.As always we can't predict the future.

There was no predicting how it was going to happen.

If so, that makes life easier in terms of predicting cashflow.

Even if you could predict when, and even if you when you were in it, you are missing deals that you could be making...waiting for something that is hard to define until years after it has happened.Here's my tagline at the bottom of all my emails:  "The things that come to those who wait, are the things that are left behind, by those that get there first".

Since we can't predict a crash its best to plan as if one could happen any year.

Funny thing though I've never been able to predict with too much pin point accuracy.  

How about is there a single metric that could be a predictor, or does it take at least two metrics to predict a crash.