How do you predict emerging markets?

How do you predict emerging markets?

Real Estate Agent · Southern Oregon · Member since 2021 · 16 posts · 7 votes

I am buying a place on the west coast as a short term rental(cash flow focused) but the more I look into it the more I believe there is significant potential appreciation. This town is isolated from others and severely underpriced compared to it's west coast neighbors. I think the draw of inexpensive living coupled with lots of sunshine and available recreation could draw a big crowd from California retirees. It has a mildly bad reputation but I find it to be mostly hype. How can I differentiate between a town with potential and one that will remain behind the curve? Does it come down to industry/jobs/growth?

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Real Estate Agent/Investor · Peoria, AZ · Member since 2016 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes
4y

@Ryan Johnson

Gotcha. It's hard to revitalize a town that has seen better days. The Salton Sea was once a hotspot in the 50s and 60s and was a wasteland by the 70s.

There are lots of places in America with lower costs of living, but they don't appeal to people because there isn't a an economical reason to go there. With recreational destinations, it helps to have an infrastructure that can serve tourists. Places like Myrtle Beach, Jackson Hole, and other tourist destinations have the catch of being nice places to visit aesthetically, filling a niche (beach, skiing) and are filled with local shops and a hospitality industry that can accommodate tons of visitors.

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  • Rental Property Investor · CA · Member since 2020 · 70 posts · 20 votes
    4y

    What town are you talking about ?

  • Real Estate Agent/Investor · Peoria, AZ · Member since 2016 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    4y

    @Ryan Johnson

    Industry, lifestyle, government, and spillover from larger nearby towns and states usually drive population growth. What is the catch for this town? How close is it to the next major city? People will ultimately need a reason to come and spend money and possibly stay in the town you are referring to.

  • Real Estate Agent · Southern Oregon · Member since 2021 · 16 posts · 7 votes
    4y

    @Bob Okenwa The catch is that the town itself is lower socioeconomically. It shows wear and feels like it peaked 30 years ago. There seems to be a lack of industry but lots of potential from recreation. It's not considered desirable but I'm wondering if the cost of living and available recreation could turn it around.

  • Real Estate Agent/Investor · Peoria, AZ · Member since 2016 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    4y

    @Ryan Johnson

    Gotcha. It's hard to revitalize a town that has seen better days. The Salton Sea was once a hotspot in the 50s and 60s and was a wasteland by the 70s.

    There are lots of places in America with lower costs of living, but they don't appeal to people because there isn't a an economical reason to go there. With recreational destinations, it helps to have an infrastructure that can serve tourists. Places like Myrtle Beach, Jackson Hole, and other tourist destinations have the catch of being nice places to visit aesthetically, filling a niche (beach, skiing) and are filled with local shops and a hospitality industry that can accommodate tons of visitors.

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